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Past Winners at Bay Hill

• 2021: Bryson Dechambeau (-11)
• 2020: Tyrrell Hatton (-4)
• 2019: Francesco Molinari (-12)
• 2018: Rory McIlroy (-18)
• 2017: Marc Leishman (-11)
• 2016: Jason Day (-17)

For more course-specific data and event trends, please check out Ron Klos’s tournament preview. It’s the most comprehensive preview you’ll find anywhere.

Light card for me this week because I’ll be out of pocket and golfing myself (Hello, Hilton Head!), and betting has not made its way down to South Carolina yet.

*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.

Outright Betting

Viktor Hovland

I think Viktor Hovland learned a lot from his weekend meltdown here last season. He was -6 heading into the weekend, I remember vividly because I bet him outright, and he disappeared on Saturday when the winds picked up. His game is perfectly suited for this course. The 200-225 range on approach shots matters significantly here, nearly double that of a standard Tour event, and no one in the world is better in that range than young Norweigan. The 2022 sample is small, and Hovland ranks inside the top 10, but in 2021 he lead the Tour in proximity to the hole in this range. The overwhelming majority of his career wins and top 10 finishes have come on TifEagle Bermudagrass greens, which is what he’ll see this week at Bay Hill. Looking for his first career PGA Tour win on U.S. soil, I’m on Vik to win at +1800 on DraftKings.