2022 Honda Classic Round 4 Betting & Showdown Picks
Ron Klos
4 years ago
Daniel Berger continued to play steady, mistake-free golf and extended his lead to five shots heading into the final round of the 2022 Honda Classic. Shane Lowry, Chris Kirk, Sepp Straka and Kurt Kitayama are tied for second at 6-under. The course is getting firmer and more challenging as the week continues as only 13 of the 73 players who made the cut shot under par on Saturday. Winds on Sunday appear to be the lightest for any round so far at only 5-6 MPH. The final round begins at 7:30 AM EST.
Weather Forecast
Post-Round 3 Player Quotes
*Quotes courtesy of ASAP Sports Transcriptions
DANIEL BERGER: I’ve played some great golf but the challenge is still ahead, 18 more holes, and I’ve got to stay focused on playing another great round tomorrow and if I can do that then I’ll be holding the trophy at the end of the day. The greens are going to be a little firmer and faster and I just have to continue to do the same thing I did today and hit fairways and greens and make some putts.
SHANE LOWRY: The greens are just firming up and they’re crusty and around the hole is pretty difficult. It’s quite hard to get a 25-footer to get good pace on it and get the right speed, it’s just tricky. It’s playing great though, I really like the way it’s playing. It’s such a tough test because I feel like personally that too many weeks we play where it’s 20-, 25-under winning tournaments so for me this is more enjoyable than that. Obviously, you want to go out and catch him tomorrow, but I don’t think you can go and catch anyone on this golf course, you just need to do your thing and shoot the best score you can and hopefully, it will be somewhere near good enough.
Current Betting Favorites
- Daniel Berger -370
- Shane Lowry +1000
- Chris Kirk +1600
- Sepp Straka +2400
- Kurt Kitayama +3600
- Best Current Outright Value: Daniel Berger -370 FanDuel
Round 4 Betting Selections
*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.
Danny Willett (-135) Over Brent Drewitt
Both players performed horribly on Saturday’s round. Nonetheless, Danny Willett holds a sizeable overall SG Rating margin over Brett Drewitt and outclasses him in the world rankings by a large distance. Willett’s putter has room for plenty of improvement while Drewitt has been overachieving on the greens thus far.
Risk: 1.35 Units on FanDuel.
PARLAY +156 – Mito Pereira (-160) Over Sam Stevens & Billy Horschel (-175) Over Andrew Kozan
Sam Stevens and Andrew Kozan have played in a combined two PGA Tour events in their young careers. Credit to them for making it to the weekend and performing admirably on such a tough golf course. That being said, I will most definitely side with the experience and talent of Billy Horschel and Mito Pereira, both of whom would be much further up the leaderboard had they putted to their Bermuda baseline thus far.
Risk: 1 Unit on FanDuel.
Round 4 DraftKings DFS Showdown Selections
Core Plays
- Daniel Berger, $11,000
- Mito Pereira, $9,200
- Matthew NeSmith, $7,300
Top-Tier Plays
- Shane Lowry, $9,800
- Keith Mitchell, $9,300
- Billy Horschel, $9,900
Mid-Tier Plays
- Jhonattan Vegas, $8,900
- Gary Woodland, $8,500
- C.T. Pan, $7,700
- Denny McCarthy, $7,900
- Sam Ryder, $7,600
Value Plays
- Matthias Schwab, $7,300
- Nick Taylor, $6,700
- Ian Poulter, $7,500
- Chase Seiffert, $7,000
- Nick Watney, $7,300
- Peter Uihlein, $6,800
For the most up-to-date picks, or if you have any questions or comments, check out my Twitter and subscribe to our Discord. This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks (and those from the rest of the betting staff) on the year. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.
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